H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Original Path ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened decently because Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a hurricane on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has become less certain. Tammy was at first expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system guidance is now suggesting that the storm might drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and exceptionally effective typhoon that triggered huge damage and substantial death. It is the costliest cyclone to ever hit the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood defense system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as big areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone warnings have now been issued for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means hurricane conditions are expected in a few of these locations. You can see the latest cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy must spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally as much as 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a cyclone that could bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the typhoon center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Typhoon Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually set off cyclone warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island nations and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a hazard to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 typhoon was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to typhoon specialist Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone specialists formerly alerted hurricanes could form in uncommon areas later in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most major risks and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy